Fulham vs Burnley – Analytics and Prediction (21.03.2026)

Introduction

In the 31st round of the Premier League, Fulham will host Burnley at Craven Cottage. This match is crucial for both teams as they are vying for vital points that could influence their standings in the league table.

Form Analysis

Fulham’s recent form has been concerning, with only one victory in their last five matches, which included three losses and one draw. Their struggles in attack have been evident, particularly in their recent games against Southampton and West Ham, where they failed to score, resulting in narrow defeats.

On the other hand, Burnley has shown a slightly better performance, securing two wins and two draws in their last five matches. However, they have also faced challenges, particularly with their away form, as shown by their losses against Everton and Mansfield Town, which raise questions about their ability to compete on the road effectively.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the two teams, Fulham has had a home form of 47% in their last five matches, indicating a struggle to convert home advantage into points. Conversely, Burnley has only a 33% success rate in their away games, which suggests that they may be vulnerable in this matchup.

Additionally, in their head-to-head encounters, Burnley has historically had the upper hand, winning three out of the last five meetings, with Fulham managing a draw in two of those fixtures. This trend could play a psychological role in the upcoming match, affecting the confidence levels of both teams.

Head-to-Head History

The historical encounters between Fulham and Burnley have been competitive, with Burnley winning three of the last five matches. Despite this, Fulham secured a victory in their most recent clash, which could provide them with a morale boost heading into this fixture.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at Craven Cottage, where Fulham will aim to use their home advantage to secure crucial points. The weather conditions appear mild, with a temperature of 14°C and broken clouds, which should not significantly impact the style of play.

Moreover, the referee for the match, C. Kavanagh, has a reputation for maintaining control, which could influence the pace and flow of the game. Both teams are under pressure to perform, making this match a critical point in their respective seasons.

Prediction and Justification

Taking into account Fulham’s home advantage and Burnley’s struggles away from home, I predict that Fulham will capitalize on their situation and secure a result, potentially with a score of 2:1. This match could be pivotal for Fulham as they aim to climb the table while Burnley fights to avoid relegation threats.