⚽ ES Tunis vs Simba — Analytics and Prediction (24.01.2026)

Introduction

ES Tunis is set to host Simba in an important CAF Champions League match at the Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi. ES Tunis has a strong home record and will look to capitalize on their advantage against a struggling Simba team. Simba, on the other hand, is coming off a recent loss and will be eager to turn their fortunes around but faces a tough challenge in Tunisia.

Form Analysis

ES Tunis has been in solid form at home, boasting a 73% success rate in their last five matches. They have a strong tactical setup that allows them to dominate possession and create scoring opportunities. Their recent performances show a balanced attack and a resilient defense, which will be key against Simba.

Simba, however, is struggling with their form, having lost their last match against Azam with a score of 1-0. This defeat reflects their current run of poor results, as they have not managed to secure any wins in their last ten matches. Their away form has been particularly concerning, with only a 33% success rate in recent travels. The team will need to find a way to regain their confidence and performance levels if they hope to compete effectively against ES Tunis.

Statistical Analysis

In terms of statistics, ES Tunis boasts a superior overall record compared to Simba. With a 50% probability of winning, their statistics indicate a strong home advantage and consistent performance. In contrast, Simba has a daunting 0% probability of winning based on their current form, highlighting their struggles on the road. The contrast in their form and statistical output demonstrates a clear gap in quality and effectiveness, which ES Tunis is likely to exploit.

Additionally, the home advantage for ES Tunis can play a significant role in their favor, as they tend to perform better in front of their fans. The statistics also suggest that Simba’s defense has been vulnerable, which could allow ES Tunis to capitalize and score multiple goals.

Head-to-Head History

Historically, the encounters between ES Tunis and Simba have favored the Tunisian side, with ES Tunis often coming out on top in direct confrontations. The psychological edge that ES Tunis holds in head-to-head matches could further affect the confidence of Simba players, particularly in such a crucial tournament setting.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at the Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi, where the home crowd will be a significant factor in motivating ES Tunis. Weather conditions are likely to be favorable, and playing in front of their fans should help boost the players’ morale. Simba’s recent loss and their struggles in away matches can weigh heavily on their minds, which could lead to a lack of confidence on the pitch. Additionally, the tactical setup and adaptability of ES Tunis will play a crucial role in how they approach the game and counter any strategies employed by Simba.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the form and statistics of both teams, it is likely that ES Tunis will emerge victorious. Their strong home record and Simba’s recent struggles suggest a one-sided encounter. Therefore, I predict that the match will end with ES Tunis winning, potentially with a score of 2:0. This prediction is based on the analysis of both teams’ current states and their historical performances against each other.