ES Tunis vs Al Ahly – Analytics and Prediction (15.03.2026)

Introduction

In the CAF Champions League, ES Tunis will face off against Al Ahly in a pivotal encounter. This match is critical as both teams strive to solidify their positions in the tournament.

Form Analysis

ES Tunis has shown a decent home form recently, accumulating a 53% success rate in their last five home matches. However, they need to improve their overall consistency, particularly in high-stakes games like this one.

On the other hand, Al Ahly has been struggling, evident from their last ten matches where they secured no wins and suffered two losses. Although their recent victories against Zamalek SC and Ceramica Cleopatra show flashes of potential, their away form, at 47%, raises concerns about their ability to perform under pressure.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing statistics, ES Tunis has a stronger historical performance at home, while Al Ahly’s away form has been less impressive. In their recent head-to-head encounters, ES Tunis has managed three wins against Al Ahly’s one, showcasing their capability to perform well against this opponent.

However, Al Ahly has often managed to score when it matters, as reflected in their average of 1.6 goals per match across their last five encounters. The teams’ statistics indicate that while ES Tunis has a slight edge historically, current form may skew the balance.

Head-to-Head History

The recent head-to-head history between ES Tunis and Al Ahly reveals a competitive rivalry, with ES Tunis winning three of their last five matches. Al Ahly has managed to clinch just one victory, but their ability to keep matches close, often resulting in draws, highlights the tension in this matchup.

Influencing Factors

Several factors will influence the outcome of this match, including the venue, Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi, which serves as a stronghold for ES Tunis. The home crowd is expected to provide significant support, which could be a crucial factor in swaying the match in their favor.

Additionally, weather conditions, typically warm and humid, could affect player stamina and performance levels, particularly for Al Ahly, who are accustomed to different climates. The psychological edge of ES Tunis playing at home could also play a vital role in this match’s intensity.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current forms and historical standings, Al Ahly is likely to secure at least a draw in this match, leveraging their experience in high-pressure situations. With both teams’ need for points being critical, the match could end with a narrow victory for Al Ahly, resulting in a score of 1:2.