⚽ Como vs AC Milan — Analytics and Prediction (15.01.2026) ⚽ Como vs AC Milan — Analytics and Prediction (15.01.2026)
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13.01.2026
Reading time: 3 min
Soccer

⚽ Como vs AC Milan — Analytics and Prediction (15.01.2026)

Daniel Carter
Daniel Carter

Como

15 January 2026
19:45
Serie A

VS
1:2
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
6°

AC Milan

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Como

Clean sheets (last 10): 9
BTTS (last 10): 13

AC Milan

Clean sheets (last 10): 9
BTTS (last 10): 18

Introduction

Como is currently facing a challenging season in Serie A, struggling to maintain consistent performances. Despite showing some resilience at home, their overall standing reflects difficulties in both scoring and defending effectively. On the other hand, AC Milan, a historically dominant team in Italian football, has been experiencing a fluctuating run of form, yet they remain a formidable opponent with quality players capable of turning the game in their favor at any moment. Both teams will be looking to secure crucial points, but the disparity in their recent performances could play a pivotal role in the outcome of this match.

Form Analysis

Como’s recent form has seen them secure a 67% success rate at home, which is commendable but still highlights inconsistencies. In their last five home matches, they have managed to capitalize on their home advantage, but they need to improve their defensive solidity to challenge stronger teams like AC Milan. Conversely, AC Milan has recorded a 60% success rate in their last five away games. Although they have faced some tough opponents, their attacking prowess and depth in squad allow them to remain competitive. Milan’s ability to adapt and respond to pressure will be tested against Como, who will aim to exploit any weaknesses in the visitors’ lineup.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing statistics, AC Milan clearly holds the upper hand over Como in terms of overall squad quality and historical performance. In their last two meetings, each team has claimed victory once, but Milan has consistently outperformed Como in terms of goal-scoring ability. While Como managed to find the back of the net in both encounters, AC Milan’s ability to score at least two goals each time indicates their offensive strength. Looking at their current stats, Como struggles with defensive organization, leading to a higher average of goals conceded, while Milan’s attacking statistics suggest they can exploit such weaknesses effectively during the match.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between the two teams shows a balanced yet competitive rivalry. In the last two matches, each team has won once, with both games yielding a total of three goals. This trend suggests that matches between Como and AC Milan tend to be closely contested, with the potential for goals from both sides. However, the historical dominance of AC Milan in Serie A gives them an edge going into this match.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, where Como enjoys a slight home advantage. However, the weather conditions, with 6°C and overcast clouds, could affect the playing style, potentially favoring the more technically adept players of AC Milan. The high humidity level may also lead to fatigue, especially if the pace of the game is high. Additionally, Como’s need to secure points to avoid relegation could push them to adopt a more aggressive approach, while Milan may be cautious, aiming to control the game and secure at least a point.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form, statistical analysis, and historical context, AC Milan is likely to come out on top in this matchup. Their superior squad depth, attacking capabilities, and experience in handling pressure situations should prove decisive. The prediction for the match is a victory for AC Milan, with a probable score of 1:2, reflecting Como’s ability to score while also acknowledging Milan’s strength in attack.

Prediction

Predicted Score: 1:2

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