⚽ Buriram United vs Shanghai Shenhua — Analytics and Prediction (17.02.2026)

Introduction

In the upcoming AFC Champions League match, Buriram United will host Shanghai Shenhua at the Chang Arena. This game presents an intriguing clash, as both teams will be looking to secure crucial points in the group stage. Buriram United, known for their strong home performance, faces a Shanghai Shenhua side that has struggled recently, particularly in away matches. With the stakes high, both teams will aim to capitalize on their strengths while minimizing any weaknesses.

Form Analysis

Buriram United has shown a decent form at home, securing a win rate of 53% in their last five home matches. Their ability to perform well in front of their fans provides a critical advantage, especially in a tournament as prestigious as the AFC Champions League. The team’s attacking prowess and solid defensive structure will be essential in dictating the pace of the game.

Conversely, Shanghai Shenhua has experienced a rough patch lately, failing to secure a win in their last ten matches with a record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss. Their recent performances, including draws against Rodina Moskva and Dynamo, indicate a lack of consistency and confidence. The absence of away victories further compounds their struggles, making this match a challenging affair for them.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistics of both teams, Buriram United has a clear edge in terms of home performance. They boast a 50% probability of winning the match, while Shanghai Shenhua stands at 0%, reflecting their struggles on the road. The last five matches for Shanghai Shenhua show an alarming trend, with no wins and a mere 20% form in away games. This stark contrast in performance metrics indicates that Buriram United is likely to exploit any vulnerabilities in the Shenhua defense.

Moreover, Buriram United’s home advantage, alongside their relatively better form, suggests a greater likelihood of them controlling possession and creating scoring opportunities. If they can maintain their composure and capitalize on their chances, they could very well dominate the match.

Head-to-Head History

Historically, Buriram United and Shanghai Shenhua have not faced each other frequently, but previous encounters have shown Buriram’s ability to perform well against teams from China. This psychological edge, coupled with their home-field advantage, may play a significant role in the outcome of this match.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions during the match are expected to be warm, with a temperature of 32°C and moderate humidity. While these conditions may affect players’ stamina, Buriram United’s acclimatization to local weather patterns could work in their favor. The Chang Arena, known for its vibrant atmosphere, will provide a supportive backdrop that could energize the home team while adding pressure on the visiting side.

Furthermore, the current form of both teams suggests that Buriram United will likely enter the match with more confidence, whereas Shanghai Shenhua may feel the weight of their recent performances. Home advantage, coupled with the psychological factors at play, makes Buriram United the favorites in this encounter.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the form, statistics, and influencing factors, Buriram United is predicted to emerge victorious in this match. Their home advantage, defensive solidity, and the struggles of Shanghai Shenhua indicate that Buriram will control the game. The predicted score is 2:1, reflecting a competitive match where Buriram’s home strength ultimately prevails over Shenhua’s away weaknesses.