⚽ Al-Nahda vs Al Shabab — Analytics and Prediction (11.02.2026)

Introduction

In the upcoming AGCFF Gulf Champions League match, Al-Nahda will host Al Shabab. Both teams are currently navigating challenging periods, with Al-Nahda looking to capitalize on their home advantage while Al Shabab is struggling to find form. This clash presents an intriguing opportunity for Al-Nahda to secure vital points against a team that has been underperforming recently. With the stakes high, both teams will be eager to prove their worth on the pitch.

Form Analysis

Al-Nahda has shown some resilience at home, managing a 50% success rate in their last five matches. This suggests they are capable of competing effectively in front of their fans. Coupled with their current form, they have the psychological edge, especially against a struggling opponent like Al Shabab. Conversely, Al Shabab’s recent form has been concerning, with two consecutive losses, including a heavy defeat against Al-Ittihad FC. Their away form also reflects a troubling 25% success rate in their last five matches, which raises questions about their ability to perform away from home.

Overall, Al-Nahda appears to be in a better position going into this match, as their recent performances suggest a more stable foundation compared to Al Shabab’s faltering efforts.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistics of both teams, Al-Nahda’s greater home advantage and current form provide them with a favorable outlook. In their head-to-head encounters, the teams have drawn once, indicating a competitive history. Al Shabab’s latest matches indicate significant struggles, especially with the recent 4-1 defeat against Al-Ittihad, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that Al-Nahda could exploit. The statistical likelihood shows Al-Nahda with a 45% chance of winning, matching a draw at 45%, leaving Al Shabab with a mere 10% chance of victory.

Furthermore, the historical performance metrics lean in favor of Al-Nahda, as they have not lost to Al Shabab in their last encounter, which could further bolster their confidence.

Head-to-Head History

The recent head-to-head encounter between Al-Nahda and Al Shabab ended in a 1-1 draw, indicating that the matches between these teams can be closely contested. However, Al-Nahda’s home advantage in this upcoming fixture might shift the balance in their favor. The even split in their previous meetings suggests that both teams have had their moments, but the current form of each team could play a pivotal role in determining the outcome this time.

Influencing Factors

Additionally, injuries or suspensions within either squad could further impact team selection and overall performance, making it crucial to consider any last-minute changes leading up to the match.

Prediction and Justification

Given the current form and statistical analysis, it is reasonable to predict that Al-Nahda will secure a win or at least a draw against Al Shabab. With Al-Nahda’s home advantage and Al Shabab’s ongoing struggles, the matchup leans heavily in favor of the home team. Therefore, the predicted score is 2:1, reflecting Al-Nahda’s potential to capitalize on Al Shabab’s defensive weaknesses while also acknowledging the possibility of Al Shabab finding the net during the match.