⚽ Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Gharafa — Analytics and Prediction (10.02.2026)

Introduction

In the upcoming AFC Champions League match, Al-Ittihad FC will face Al-Gharafa at the King Abdullah Sports City. Al-Ittihad FC, a strong contender in the league, has shown resilience and skill in their recent performances, making them a formidable opponent at home. On the other hand, Al-Gharafa has struggled with consistency, particularly in away games, which may pose challenges for them in this match. The outcome will likely hinge on the home side’s ability to capitalize on their strengths and the visitors’ efforts to overcome their away form.

Form Analysis

Al-Ittihad FC has had a mixed run in their last four matches, with two wins and two defeats. Notably, their recent victory against Al Shabab, where they secured a 4-1 win, highlights their attacking prowess. Playing at home, they have a 60% success rate in their last five home matches, which adds to their confidence heading into this fixture.

Conversely, Al-Gharafa has struggled in their recent encounters, particularly in away games where they have only managed a 40% success rate in the last five matches. Their inability to secure results on the road could be a significant disadvantage against a strong team like Al-Ittihad FC. This discrepancy in form may heavily influence the match’s outcome.

Statistical Analysis

When analyzing the statistics, Al-Ittihad FC boasts a favorable win probability of 45%, indicating their strong position and form. Their attacking capabilities are underscored by their recent high-scoring matches, suggesting that they can penetrate defenses effectively. In contrast, Al-Gharafa’s win probability sits at just 10%, reflecting their difficulties in away matches and overall inconsistency. The draw probability of 45% suggests that Al-Gharafa may hold on defensively but will have to work hard to maintain that.

Both teams’ statistics reveal a stark contrast in recent performances, with Al-Ittihad FC demonstrating a more robust offensive and defensive strategy. If Al-Gharafa is to have any chance, they will need to tighten their defense and find a way to exploit any weaknesses in Al-Ittihad’s setup.

Head-to-Head History

The historical encounters between Al-Ittihad FC and Al-Gharafa show a trend favoring Al-Ittihad. In their past meetings, Al-Ittihad has often come out on top, suggesting a psychological edge going into this match. This historical context can play a crucial role in influencing the players’ confidence levels on the pitch.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at King Abdullah Sports City, a venue where Al-Ittihad traditionally excels. The home advantage is crucial, especially in high-stakes matches like the AFC Champions League. Weather conditions may also play a role, as a favorable climate could benefit the home side’s attacking game plan.

Moreover, Al-Gharafa’s struggles in away fixtures add an extra layer of pressure on them. With fans likely to support Al-Ittihad passionately, the atmosphere could further bolster the home team’s resolve, making it difficult for the visitors to perform.

Prediction and Justification

Given the current form and statistical analysis, Al-Ittihad FC is expected to emerge victorious in this match. With their home advantage, recent strong performances, and the historical context of their encounters with Al-Gharafa, they should be able to secure the win. The predicted score for this matchup is 2:1, reflecting Al-Ittihad’s potential to score multiple goals while allowing one in a competitive encounter.