⚽ Al-Gharafa vs Tractor Sazi — Analytics and Prediction (17.02.2026)

Introduction

Al-Gharafa and Tractor Sazi are set to clash in an exciting AFC Champions League match. Al-Gharafa, representing Qatar, has shown some resilience recently, but their overall form has been shaky. Tractor Sazi, on the other hand, hailing from Iran, has demonstrated a robust performance on the road, making them a formidable opponent. Both teams will be aiming to secure vital points in this group stage encounter, as the competition intensifies.

Form Analysis

In their last ten matches, Al-Gharafa has managed to secure only one victory, which highlights their struggles in finding consistent form. Their recent victory against Al Kharaitiyat (2-0) may provide a slight morale boost, yet their home form remains a cause for concern, with only a 20% success rate in their last five home matches.

Conversely, Tractor Sazi has been performing significantly better, especially on the road where they boast an impressive 80% success rate in their last five away games. This consistent form gives them a psychological edge going into this match, as they will be looking to capitalize on Al-Gharafa’s weaknesses.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistics of both teams, Al-Gharafa holds a modest record against Tractor Sazi in their head-to-head encounters, winning 3 out of 2 matches. However, their recent form does not reflect dominance, as they are struggling to convert chances into goals.

Tractor Sazi, however, has shown a more balanced approach, with a strong attacking line and a solid defense. The average score in their recent encounters has been 3.5 goals per match, indicating a trend of high-scoring games. Given their current form and statistical backing, Tractor Sazi appears to be the stronger side heading into this fixture.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between Al-Gharafa and Tractor Sazi reveals an evenly matched rivalry. In their last two encounters, each team has secured one victory, with Al-Gharafa winning 3-0 in their last clash. However, past performance in football doesn’t always guarantee future results, especially with Tractor Sazi’s current form looking promising.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at the Thani bin Jassim Stadium, which typically offers a home advantage to Al-Gharafa. However, the psychological pressure of needing to perform in front of their fans could weigh heavily on them, especially given their recent struggles. Weather conditions could also play a role, but given the usual climate in Qatar, both teams should be accustomed to the heat.

Moreover, Tractor Sazi’s recent form on the road suggests they will not be intimidated by the home crowd and will aim to play their game aggressively. With Al-Gharafa’s need for points and Tractor Sazi’s confidence, this match promises to be competitive.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the form of both teams and their statistical backgrounds, Tractor Sazi appears to be in a better position to either win or draw this encounter. Al-Gharafa’s struggles at home, coupled with Tractor Sazi’s impressive away performance, lead to the conclusion that the visitors will likely secure at least a draw, if not a victory. Therefore, the prediction for this match is a win for Tractor Sazi, with a likely score of 1:2.