⚽ Al Ahly vs FAR Rabat — Analytics and Prediction (15.02.2026)

Introduction

Al Ahly and FAR Rabat are set to clash in an exciting CAF Champions League match that promises intensity and skill. Al Ahly, one of Africa’s most storied clubs, boasts a rich history in the tournament and comes into this match with a solid home record. Meanwhile, FAR Rabat will be looking to assert themselves against a top opponent and showcase their talents on the continental stage. Both teams have aspirations of advancing in the tournament, making this encounter crucial for their confidence and standings.

Form Analysis

Al Ahly has shown commendable form in their recent outings, securing two victories in their last two matches, including a notable win against rivals Zamalek SC. With a perfect record in their last 10 games, they remain unbeaten, which speaks volumes about their consistency and resilience. Playing at home, they have managed a 60% success rate, which further solidifies their position as favorites in this matchup.

On the other hand, FAR Rabat has had a mixed bag of results recently, with a form percentage of 53% in their away matches. They have struggled to find their rhythm, which could be a concern as they face a formidable opponent like Al Ahly. The pressure of playing away in a high-stakes match could challenge their resolve, but they will be motivated to turn their fortunes around in this crucial encounter.

Statistical Analysis

When analyzing the statistics, Al Ahly has been dominant in recent head-to-head encounters, with an unbeaten run against FAR Rabat, evidenced by their last match ending in a draw. The overall metrics of the two teams reveal that Al Ahly has a higher probability of scoring, with their attack being more efficient. In contrast, FAR Rabat has struggled to maintain consistency, which is reflected in their lower expected goals metric.

Additionally, Al Ahly’s home advantage cannot be overlooked, as they tend to perform better in front of their fans. With a current probability of winning set at 45%, compared to FAR Rabat’s 10%, the statistics clearly favor the Egyptian giants.

Head-to-Head History

The historical matchups between Al Ahly and FAR Rabat show a competitive spirit, with their last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw. However, with Al Ahly’s extensive experience in high-pressure situations and their familiarity with the Champions League, they seem well-prepared for this clash. The head-to-head record indicates that while FAR Rabat can hold their own, they have yet to find a way to secure a win against Al Ahly, making this match pivotal for both teams.

Influencing Factors

Several factors may influence the outcome of this match. The venue, Al Salam Stadium, is known for its electric atmosphere, which will undoubtedly boost Al Ahly’s confidence as they play in front of their home supporters. Weather conditions are expected to be favorable, with no significant rain forecasted, allowing both teams to execute their game plans effectively.

Moreover, Al Ahly’s experience in handling pressure situations in knockout tournaments gives them a psychological edge. FAR Rabat will need to overcome the challenges of playing away in a hostile environment to stand a chance against a well-drilled Al Ahly side.

Prediction and Justification

Based on the analysis of form, statistics, and other influencing factors, the prediction for this match leans heavily in favor of Al Ahly. Their current form, home advantage, and head-to-head success against FAR Rabat all point towards a likely victory. With a strong attack and solid defense, Al Ahly is expected to control the game. The probable scoreline is 2:1, reflecting a competitive match where FAR Rabat manages to get on the scoresheet but ultimately falls short against the might of Al Ahly.