Match Result Essendon Bombers vs St Kilda Saints — 05.07.2026

Teams Form Analysis

Essendon Bombers have struggled in their recent matches, losing their last five games, with a notable defeat against St Kilda Saints in their most recent encounter, where they scored only 50 points. Their scoring average has dropped significantly, indicating a lack of offensive potency. In contrast, St Kilda Saints have shown strong form, winning four of their last five matches, including a commanding victory over Essendon, where they scored 117 points.

The home advantage at Marvel Stadium could play a role, but Essendon's current form suggests they will need to significantly improve to compete effectively.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of statistics, Essendon averages 361.4 disposals and 10.2 goals per game, but their recent performances have seen them fall short of these numbers. St Kilda, on the other hand, averages 385.4 disposals and 13.1 goals per game, showcasing their offensive strength. The head-to-head record favors St Kilda, who have won four out of the last seven encounters, including their latest match by a substantial margin. The scoring trend indicates that St Kilda is more consistent in their offensive output, while Essendon has struggled to find the scoreboard.

Essendon Bombers — St Kilda Saints Prediction

• Exact Score: 50 – 117
• Q1: 10 – 30
• Q2: 15 – 35
• Q3: 10 – 25
• Q4: 15 – 27
• Total points: 167
• Winning margin: 67
• Disposals: 332 – 447
• Kicks: 184 – 244
• Handballs: 148 – 203
• Total Clearances: 33 – 34
• Marks: 82 – 127
• Tackles: 46 – 65
• Hitouts: 49 – 28
• Goal Assists: 6 – 12
• Free Kicks: 17 – 24

St Kilda's ability to dominate possession and score consistently suggests they will control the game. Essendon will need to focus on improving their defensive structure and finding ways to break through St Kilda's strong backline to have any chance of turning the tide in their favor.

3 Reasons Why St Kilda Saints Will Win

• Recent Form: St Kilda has won four of their last five matches, while Essendon has lost five in a row, indicating a significant disparity in confidence and momentum.
• Head-to-Head Record: St Kilda has won four out of the last seven encounters, including a recent 67-point victory, showcasing their dominance in this matchup.
• Scoring Consistency: St Kilda averages 13.1 goals per game compared to Essendon's 10.2, highlighting the Saints' superior offensive capabilities.

Match Prediction

Date Match W Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Σ ±

05.07.2026 05:15 AFL Premiership

Essendon Bombers

St Kilda Saints

50 117

10 30

15 35

10 25

15 27

167 —

-67 +67

AFL Stats Forecast

Metric

Disposals 332 447

Kicks 184 244

Handballs 148 203

Total Clearances 33 34

Marks 82 127

Tackles 46 65

Hitouts 49 28

Goal Assists 6 12

Free Kicks 17 24