Celta Vigo vs Alaves – Analytics and Prediction (22.03.2026)

Introduction

Celta Vigo will face Alaves in the 29th round of La Liga. As both teams seek vital points to enhance their standings, this matchup is critical for shaping their trajectories in the league.

Form Analysis

Celta Vigo has had a mixed run in recent matches, failing to secure any victories in their last five games, recording two draws and three losses. Their last encounter resulted in a hard-fought draw against Real Betis, while a notable win against Lyon in the Europa League may boost their confidence despite their inconsistent domestic form.

On the other hand, Alaves has also struggled to find form, with no wins in their last five outings — three draws and two losses marking their recent performances. Their most recent match against Villarreal ended in a stalemate, which, although a point earned, reflects their ongoing battle to secure crucial victories to escape the relegation zone.

Statistical Analysis

Statistically, Celta Vigo shows a home form of 53% in their last five matches, indicating a stronger performance at the Estadio Abanca-Balaídos compared to Alaves, who have only managed a 20% success rate away from home in their last five games. Celta Vigo’s attacking prowess has been evident, but they struggle to convert opportunities into wins, as indicated by their recent matches.

Alaves, conversely, has been less effective in both defense and attack, often conceding goals while failing to capitalize on their chances. The head-to-head statistics suggest a slight edge for Celta Vigo, with two wins and two draws in the last five encounters, emphasizing their ability to perform against Alaves.

Head-to-Head History

The historical context of matches between Celta Vigo and Alaves reveals a competitive rivalry, with Celta winning two of the last five meetings. Their last match ended in a 1-1 draw, and previous encounters show that both teams have had periods of dominance, making this matchup unpredictable.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at Celta Vigo’s home ground, providing them with a significant advantage due to familiar conditions and the support of their home crowd. Weather conditions are expected to be mild, which typically favors an open style of play, potentially benefiting Celta’s attacking players.

Additionally, the pressure of the league standings for both teams adds another layer of intensity, as they both desperately seek to secure points to avoid falling into deeper trouble in the relegation battle. Celta’s slightly better form at home could influence their performance positively.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form and statistical analysis, Celta Vigo is likely to emerge victorious, although the match may still be competitive. With both teams struggling to secure wins, a close encounter is expected, but Celta’s home advantage and historical performance against Alaves suggest they could edge out a win. Therefore, the predicted score is 2:1.