⚽ Machida Zelvia vs Chengdu Better City — Analytics and Prediction (17.02.2026)

Introduction

Both Machida Zelvia and Chengdu Better City are set to clash in an exciting match of the AFC Champions League. Machida Zelvia enters this encounter with a recent victory, showcasing their resilience, while Chengdu Better City is struggling to find form, having failed to secure a win in their last few outings. This match will be crucial for both teams, as they seek to establish their positions in the tournament and gain momentum moving forward.

Form Analysis

Analyzing the current form of Machida Zelvia, they have displayed a competitive edge, winning one out of their last two matches, including a thrilling 3-2 win against Yokohama F. Marinos. Their home form is particularly strong, with an 80% success rate in their last five home games, indicating a solid foundation to build upon.

In contrast, Chengdu Better City has struggled significantly, with a record of two losses and one draw in their last three matches. They were held to a 1-1 draw against Dynamo but have faced heavy defeats against Lokomotiv and FC Rostov, showcasing defensive vulnerabilities. Their away form is concerning, with only a 20% success rate in their last five matches, which complicates their chances against a resolute Machida Zelvia.

Statistical Analysis

When we compare the statistics of both teams, Machida Zelvia stands out with a 45% probability of winning the match, while Chengdu Better City holds a mere 10% chance of victory. The home advantage for Machida Zelvia cannot be overlooked, as they have demonstrated strong performances at their home ground, the Machida GION Stadium.

Chengdu Better City’s statistics reveal a concerning trend, with their last three matches yielding zero wins. Their inability to score consistently, coupled with their poor defensive record, poses a significant challenge. This disparity in performance metrics underscores the uphill battle Chengdu faces as they prepare to take on their opponents.

Head-to-Head History

There is limited historical data regarding head-to-head encounters between Machida Zelvia and Chengdu Better City, which adds an element of unpredictability to this matchup. However, based on current form and statistics, Machida Zelvia appears to be in a much stronger position to secure a favorable outcome.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions during the match are expected to be moderate, with a temperature of 8°C and scattered clouds, which should not adversely affect the players’ performances. The home advantage for Machida Zelvia, combined with their solid recent form, will play a crucial role in their confidence and overall game strategy.

Chengdu Better City’s struggles, particularly in away matches, make it difficult for them to capitalize on any potential weaknesses in Machida Zelvia’s armor. The combination of these factors suggests that Machida Zelvia will have the upper hand as they take to the field in front of their home crowd.

Prediction and Justification

Given the current form, home advantage, and recent performances, Machida Zelvia is poised to win this match against Chengdu Better City. With their improved attacking prowess and solid defensive structure, they are likely to dominate the game. The predicted score is 2:1, reflecting a close contest but ultimately favoring Machida Zelvia’s capabilities to secure three points.