28.01.2026
Reading time: 3 min

⚽ Atletico Madrid vs Bodo/Glimt — Analytics and Prediction (28.01.2026)

Atletico Madrid

28 January 2026
20:00
UEFA Champions League

VS
2:1
Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Bodo/Glimt
WWW

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Atletico Madrid

Clean sheets (last 10): 0
BTTS (last 10): 6

Bodo/Glimt

Clean sheets (last 10): 1
BTTS (last 10): 8

Introduction

Atletico Madrid will host Bodo/Glimt in what promises to be an exciting fixture in the UEFA Champions League. Atletico Madrid, known for their strong defensive organization and tactical discipline, will be looking to assert their dominance at home. Meanwhile, Bodo/Glimt arrives with some momentum from their recent performances domestically, showcasing their attacking prowess. However, the challenge of playing against a seasoned opponent like Atletico Madrid will test their mettle on the European stage.

Form Analysis

Atletico Madrid has shown a solid home form recently, with a winning percentage of 67% in their last five home matches. Their defensive solidity, combined with a potent attack, makes them a formidable opponent. On the other hand, Bodo/Glimt’s recent form has been less impressive, with only 2 wins out of their last 10 matches and a disappointing 27% success rate in away games. Their recent victories against lower-tier teams may not adequately prepare them for the intensity of a Champions League clash against a team like Atletico.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistics of both teams, Atletico Madrid has a significant advantage. Their ability to control matches, illustrated by their higher possession and pass accuracy, places them in a position of strength. Bodo/Glimt, while capable of scoring, often struggles against teams with robust defensive setups. The differing styles of play, with Atletico focusing on counter-attacks and Bodo/Glimt relying on quick transitions, will be crucial in determining the match outcome.

Head-to-Head History

There are no previous competitive matches between Atletico Madrid and Bodo/Glimt, making this encounter a fresh challenge for both teams. This lack of familiarity may lead to unpredictability, but it will also allow each team to implement their strategies without the psychological baggage of past encounters.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano, providing Atletico Madrid with a significant home advantage. The atmosphere created by their loyal supporters is likely to bolster the players’ performance. Additionally, the referee for the match, M. Mariani, will play a crucial role in maintaining control and flow of the game, which could influence the outcome based on how he interprets key moments. Weather conditions, though expected to be mild, could also impact the pace of play.

Prediction and Justification

Considering Atletico Madrid’s strong home form and Bodo/Glimt’s struggles away from home, the prediction leans heavily in favor of the Spanish side. Atletico’s ability to grind out results, coupled with their tactical discipline, positions them as clear favorites. A likely outcome for the match is a victory for Atletico Madrid, with a final score of 2:1. This reflects both their offensive capabilities and Bodo/Glimt’s potential to score against a highly organized defense.

Prediction

I predict that Atletico Madrid will win or draw, showcasing their home advantage and experience.

Predicted Score: 2:1

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