Fiorentina vs Atalanta – (22.05.2026)

Teams Form Analysis

Fiorentina has shown mixed form in their last 10 matches, with a record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses. They have scored a total of 9 goals while conceding 12, indicating a struggle in both attack and defense. In contrast, Atalanta has been more consistent, achieving 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses in their last 10 matches, scoring 15 goals and conceding 16. This suggests that while Atalanta has been slightly more prolific, both teams have faced challenges in their recent performances.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their last encounter, Fiorentina and Atalanta played to a 1-1 draw. Fiorentina managed 4 shots on target and had a possession rate of 40%, while Atalanta had 6 shots on target with 60% possession. The expected goals (xG) for Fiorentina was 0.81, compared to Atalanta's 1.58, indicating that Atalanta created more quality chances. Historically, Fiorentina has a strong home advantage against Atalanta, winning 8 of their last 15 encounters, which could play a crucial role in this matchup.

Fiorentina — Atalanta Prediction

• Exact Score: 1 vs 1
• 1st Half: 1 vs 0
• Goals (Total): 1 vs 1
• Corners: 3 vs 3
• Fouls: 11 vs 14
• Yellow Cards: 1 vs 2
• Shots on target: 4 vs 6
• Offsides: 2 vs 2
• Possession: 50% vs 50%

In terms of tactics, Fiorentina may adopt a more defensive approach, looking to hit Atalanta on the counter-attack, while Atalanta will likely focus on maintaining possession and breaking down Fiorentina's defense with quick passing and movement. The midfield battle will be crucial, as both teams will aim to control the pace of the game.

3 Key Reasons for This Prediction

• Strong Home Record. Fiorentina has won 8 out of the last 15 encounters at home against Atalanta, showcasing their dominance in this fixture.
• Recent Draws. The last two matches between these teams ended in draws, indicating a competitive balance that could lead to another stalemate.
• Defensive Vulnerabilities. Both teams have shown weaknesses in defense recently, which could lead to opportunities for goals, but also suggests a likelihood of a draw as both may cancel each other out.

Match Prediction

22.05.2026 18:45 Serie A

Fiorentina 1 1 0

Atalanta 1 0 1

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