⚽ Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca — Analytics and Prediction (25.01.2026)

Introduction

Atletico Madrid will be facing Mallorca in an upcoming La Liga match at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Atletico Madrid has established itself as a strong contender in the league, consistently showcasing solid performances at home. Meanwhile, Mallorca, though competitive, has struggled recently, particularly highlighted by their heavy defeat against Celje. This matchup presents a classic scenario of a home favorite against a visiting underdog, setting the stage for an intriguing contest.

Form Analysis

Atletico Madrid is exhibiting a commendable form at home with a winning percentage of 67% over their last five matches. Their ability to secure victories in crucial games demonstrates their tactical discipline and offensive prowess. The team is well-coordinated, with players effectively executing coach Diego Simeone’s game plan, making them a formidable opponent.

On the other hand, Mallorca’s recent form has been disappointing, with only one win in their last ten matches. Their recent 0-4 loss to Celje underscores their current struggles, and playing away further complicates their quest for points. With an away form rating of 47%, they face significant challenges against a strong side like Atletico Madrid.

Statistical Analysis

Statistically, Atletico Madrid holds an advantage in head-to-head encounters against Mallorca, with two wins in their last five meetings compared to Mallorca’s two victories. The average score in these encounters has been relatively low, with a mean of 1.4 goals per game and no matches exceeding two goals, indicating a tendency for close contests. Furthermore, Atletico Madrid’s defensive record at home contrasts starkly with Mallorca’s recent struggles to score, emphasizing the likelihood of a home win.

Mallorca’s poor scoring form, coupled with their defensive vulnerabilities, makes this matchup particularly challenging. The visitors have not managed to secure draws or wins consistently, which places them at a disadvantage as they head into this match against a top-tier team like Atletico Madrid.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between Atletico Madrid and Mallorca reveals a competitive rivalry, although Atletico has generally had the upper hand. In their last five encounters, the teams have split victories evenly, but the majority of matches have leaned in favor of Atletico Madrid. Notably, Mallorca has failed to score in three of these matches, underscoring Atletico’s defensive strength in these encounters.

Influencing Factors

The venue for this match, Riyadh Air Metropolitano, will provide Atletico Madrid with a significant home advantage, as they typically perform well in front of their home crowd. The atmosphere and familiar surroundings can boost player morale and performance levels. Additionally, weather conditions, which are often more favorable in Madrid, could further enhance Atletico’s chances, as they are more acclimatized to their home environment.

Mallorca, conversely, will struggle with the pressure of playing away against a top team. Their recent form and morale, especially after a heavy loss, may impact their performance negatively. The psychological effects of a poor away record against a confident home side could further hinder their ability to compete effectively.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form, statistical advantages, and historical context, Atletico Madrid is poised to secure a victory in this matchup. The combination of their home advantage and Mallorca’s struggles makes a win for Atletico Madrid highly likely. The predicted score for this match is 2:0, reflecting Atletico’s strong offense against a Mallorca side that has been struggling to find the net consistently.