Marta Kostyuk has established herself as a formidable competitor, particularly on grass surfaces, where her career baseline approaches 56%. With a two-year trajectory showing consistent improvement, she is climbing steadily into this match. Kostyuk’s ability to dominate rallies with her aggressive style has made her a challenging opponent, especially for those unprepared for her intensity.
Her recent performances at Wimbledon highlight her readiness, as she secured four consecutive wins against tough opponents, including a straight-set victory over Anna Blinkova. The only blemish in recent weeks was a draw against M. Stojsavljevic in London. As she faces off against Jasmine Paolini, Kostyuk's current form signals a strong chance to advance, but she must maintain her level against a seasoned rival.
Match results: M. Kostyuk
6 Jul 2026WTA Wimbledon
A. Krueger
M. Kostyuk
02
46
46
W
4 Jul 2026WTA Wimbledon
E. Navarro
M. Kostyuk
12
26
64
16
W
2 Jul 2026WTA Wimbledon
A. Blinkova
M. Kostyuk
02
36
36
W
30 Jun 2026WTA Wimbledon
N. Podoroska
M. Kostyuk
02
16
26
W
9 Jun 2026WTA London
M. Stojsavljevic
M. Kostyuk
00
L
4 Jun 2026WTA French Open
M. Kostyuk
M. Andreeva
02
16
36
L
2 Jun 2026WTA French Open
E. Svitolina
M. Kostyuk
12
36
62
26
W
31 May 2026WTA French Open
M. Kostyuk
I. Swiatek
20
75
61
W
29 May 2026WTA French Open
M. Kostyuk
V. Golubic
20
64
63
W
27 May 2026WTA French Open
M. Kostyuk
K. Volynets
20
63
63
W
J. Paolini
Player Overview
Jasmine Paolini brings a blend of tactical awareness and grit to her game, demonstrated by her solid career baseline around 52% on grass. Currently, she is trending upward, bolstered by her recent victories, including a notable win over Maria Sakkari at Wimbledon. Paolini’s Elo rating reflects her competitive nature, consistently pushing through tough matches.
Paolini has won her last four matches, showcasing her ability to adapt and execute under pressure. However, her earlier loss to Tamara Maria at Eastbourne serves as a reminder of her vulnerability. As she prepares to face Marta Kostyuk, Paolini's strategic play will be crucial; she must find a way to counter Kostyuk's aggressive style to continue her successful run.
Match results: J. Paolini
6 Jul 2026WTA Wimbledon
J. Paolini
A. Eala
21
64
46
63
W
4 Jul 2026WTA Wimbledon
J. Paolini
M. Sakkari
20
61
62
W
2 Jul 2026WTA Wimbledon
J. Paolini
V. Golubic
10
64
W
30 Jun 2026WTA Wimbledon
J. Paolini
R. Montgomery
21
06
64
75
W
23 Jun 2026WTA Eastbourne
J. Paolini
T. Maria
02
46
36
L
27 May 2026WTA French Open
J. Paolini
S. Sierra
12
63
46
36
L
25 May 2026WTA French Open
J. Paolini
D. Yastremska
20
75
63
W
9 May 2026WTA Rome
J. Paolini
E. Mertens
12
64
36
L
7 May 2026WTA Rome
J. Paolini
L. Jeanjean
20
62
64
W
25 Apr 2026WTA Madrid
H. Baptiste
J. Paolini
20
75
63
L
Players Analysis
M. Kostyuk has shown strong form recently, winning 8 out of her last 10 matches, including a solid performance at Wimbledon where she has not dropped a set. In contrast, J. Paolini has a mixed record with 6 wins and 4 losses in her last 10 matches, indicating some inconsistency. Their head-to-head record favors Paolini, who has won 2 out of 3 encounters, including their most recent match at the WTA Cincinnati in August 2023, where she won decisively 2-0.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
Kostyuk's recent performance has been impressive, particularly on grass, where she has a high winning percentage. Her ability to win points on serve and break opponents' serves has been a key factor in her success. Paolini, while also a competent player, has struggled against higher-ranked opponents recently, which may impact her confidence going into this match. The previous matches between these two have shown that Kostyuk can dominate when in form, as evidenced by her 2-0 victory in their last encounter.
M. Kostyuk — J. Paolini Prediction
Given the current form and head-to-head results, M. Kostyuk is favored to win this match. Her recent performances suggest she can secure a straight-sets victory, especially if she maintains her serving efficiency and capitalizes on break points. The predicted score is 2:0 in favor of M. Kostyuk.
Final score in sets: 2:0
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - M. Kostyuk, Set 2 - M. Kostyuk
Expected aces: 5
Double faults: 2
Break points: 4
In terms of tactics, Kostyuk will likely focus on aggressive baseline play, utilizing her powerful groundstrokes to push Paolini back. She may also look to exploit any weaknesses in Paolini's serve, aiming to break early in both sets to establish control. Paolini will need to find her rhythm quickly to avoid being overwhelmed.
3 Reasons Why M. Kostyuk Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors M. Kostyuk 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors M. Kostyuk.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, M. Kostyuk has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than J. Paolini, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
07.07.2026 12:00WTA Wimbledon
M. Kostyuk
J. Paolini
20
1100
53
23
41
Where to watch M. Kostyuk vs J. Paolini
WTA Official Website - Visit the official WTA website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
ESPN Tennis - Check ESPN for broadcast details and live coverage of WTA events.
Tennis Channel - Find out if the match will be aired on Tennis Channel and view their schedule.
BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport provides coverage and updates on major tennis events, including Wimbledon.
Wimbledon Official Website - The official Wimbledon website offers information on matches, tickets, and broadcast details.
