Jessica Pegula has carved out a reliable presence on the tennis circuit, backed by a career baseline win percentage hovering around 56%. Her current trajectory over the last two years reveals a stable performance, particularly on grass, where she thrives. With a solid Elo rating, Pegula's serve and return game consistently challenge opponents, underscoring her capacity to excel in high-pressure situations.
Entering this match, Pegula has found her rhythm at Wimbledon, winning her last four matches, including a decisive victory over Iva Jovic. Despite a recent setback against Linda Noskova in Berlin, her form remains promising. With no losses in her last five matches at Wimbledon, she is well-positioned to advance further in the tournament, but must maintain focus against a formidable opponent.
Match results: J. Pegula
5 Jul 2026WTA Wimbledon
J. Pegula
I. Jovic
21
46
63
61
W
3 Jul 2026WTA Wimbledon
J. Pegula
J. Bouzas Maneiro
20
61
63
W
1 Jul 2026WTA Wimbledon
J. Pegula
S. Sorribes Tormo
10
61
W
29 Jun 2026WTA Wimbledon
J. Pegula
D. Vidmanova
20
75
63
W
21 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
J. Pegula
L. Noskova
12
46
64
36
L
20 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
A. Sabalenka
J. Pegula
02
46
06
W
19 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
J. Pegula
M. Keys
20
W
17 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
J. Pegula
K. Siniakova
20
62
64
W
26 May 2026WTA French Open
K. Birrell
J. Pegula
21
16
63
63
L
13 May 2026WTA Rome
J. Pegula
I. Swiatek
02
16
26
L
C. Gauff
Player Overview
Coco Gauff has emerged as a dynamic competitor, showcasing a career baseline win percentage that reflects her growing prowess on the court. Her recent performances signal a rising trend, highlighted by solid victories that capitalize on her aggressive playstyle. Gauff's ability to adapt her game on grass has been evident, making her a formidable contender in this year’s tournament.
Gauff arrives at this match with a string of victories, including her latest win against Belinda Bencic, which demonstrates her competitive spirit. Despite a recent loss to Paula Badosa in Berlin, her confidence seems intact. The challenge against Pegula represents a crucial test; how she handles the pressure will be pivotal in determining her trajectory in the tournament.
Match results: C. Gauff
5 Jul 2026WTA Wimbledon
B. Bencic
C. Gauff
12
64
36
46
W
3 Jul 2026WTA Wimbledon
C. Liu
C. Gauff
02
36
26
W
1 Jul 2026WTA Wimbledon
S. Sierra
C. Gauff
12
36
63
W
29 Jun 2026WTA Wimbledon
T. Korpatsch
C. Gauff
02
26
16
W
17 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
P. Badosa
C. Gauff
21
16
63
62
L
15 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
N. Bartunkova
C. Gauff
00
L
30 May 2026WTA French Open
C. Gauff
A. Potapova
12
64
46
L
28 May 2026WTA French Open
C. Gauff
M. Sherif
20
63
62
W
26 May 2026WTA French Open
C. Gauff
T. Townsend
20
64
60
W
16 May 2026WTA Rome
C. Gauff
E. Svitolina
02
46
26
L
Players Analysis
Jessica Pegula and Coco Gauff are set to face off in the quarter-finals of the WTA Wimbledon. Pegula has shown impressive form recently, winning three consecutive matches in this tournament without dropping a set. Her last ten matches reflect a strong performance, with a total of 15 games won and only 7 lost. In contrast, Gauff has also been performing well, winning 6 out of her last 10 matches, but has faced some challenges, including a recent loss to Belinda Bencic in the 1/8-finals.
In their head-to-head encounters, Gauff has struggled against Pegula, losing their last three meetings, including a decisive victory for Pegula in the WTA Finals in Cancun last November, where she won 2-0. This historical context adds pressure on Gauff as she aims to turn the tide in their rivalry.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
Statistically, Pegula has a higher win rate in recent matches, particularly on grass, where she has excelled. Her serve has been reliable, contributing to her success in breaking her opponents' serves. Gauff, while talented, has shown vulnerability in crucial moments, particularly against higher-ranked players. The surface at Wimbledon favors Pegula's playing style, which relies on powerful groundstrokes and effective net play. Additionally, Pegula's recent performances indicate a strong mental edge, having won crucial points in tight situations.
Both players will need to capitalize on their serve games, but Pegula's recent form and head-to-head advantage suggest she may have the upper hand in this matchup.
J. Pegula — C. Gauff Prediction
Considering the recent form, head-to-head results, and surface advantage, Jessica Pegula is favored to win this match against Coco Gauff. The predicted score is 2-0 in sets, reflecting Pegula's dominance in their past encounters and her current form.
Final score in sets: 2-0
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - J. Pegula, Set 2 - J. Pegula
Expected aces: 5
Double faults: 2
Break points: 4
In terms of tactical expectations, Pegula will likely focus on aggressive baseline play to pressure Gauff early in the match. She may also look to exploit Gauff's second serve, aiming to create break point opportunities. Gauff will need to find her rhythm quickly and maintain composure under pressure to have a chance at competing effectively.
3 Reasons Why J. Pegula Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors J. Pegula 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors J. Pegula.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, J. Pegula has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than C. Gauff, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
07.07.2026 12:00WTA Wimbledon
J. Pegula
C. Gauff
20
1100
53
23
42
Where to watch J. Pegula vs C. Gauff
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