Felix Auger-Aliassime has carved out a reputation as a formidable hard-court player, boasting a career baseline win percentage nearing 56%. Currently, he's on an upward trajectory, reflecting a steady improvement over the past two years. This season, he has demonstrated a knack for dominating opponents, particularly on grass, with a string of convincing victories at Wimbledon.
His recent form is impressive, having won all four of his matches at this tournament without dropping a set, including a commanding 3-0 victory against Alex Shevchenko. However, Auger-Aliassime’s performance at Wimbledon has been marked by inconsistency in previous years. He will need to maintain his current level to make a significant impact against the experienced Novak Djokovic.
Match results: F. Auger-Aliassime
5 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
F. Auger-Aliassime
A. Davidovich Fokina
20
63
61
W
3 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
F. Auger-Aliassime
M. Zheng
20
62
61
W
1 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
F. Auger-Aliassime
D. Prizmic
20
63
75
W
29 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
F. Auger-Aliassime
A. Shevchenko
30
63
61
64
W
19 Jun 2026ATP Halle
F. Tiafoe
F. Auger-Aliassime
21
36
63
L
17 Jun 2026ATP Halle
L. Tien
F. Auger-Aliassime
01
57
W
15 Jun 2026ATP Halle
N. Borges
F. Auger-Aliassime
12
36
63
36
W
12 Jun 2026ATP Hertogenbosch
F. Auger-Aliassime
K. Majchrzak
02
46
36
L
11 Jun 2026ATP Hertogenbosch
F. Auger-Aliassime
M. Fucsovics
20
63
64
W
3 Jun 2026ATP French Open
F. Auger-Aliassime
F. Cobolli
13
64
46
46
46
L
N. Djokovic
Player Overview
Novak Djokovic remains a titan on the ATP circuit, with a career baseline win percentage exceeding 83%. His current form reflects a slight decline, though he still holds an elite status, especially on grass, where he has historically thrived. Djokovic's ability to adapt and strategize during matches remains unparalleled, making him a constant threat to any opponent.
After navigating a series of tough matches, Djokovic enters this clash having won his last four encounters at Wimbledon, including a challenging 2-1 victory over Roman Safiullin. While he has faced some recent challenges, including a 3-0 loss to Stefanos Tsitsipas, Djokovic's extensive experience and tactical acumen could very well tip the scales in his favor in this high-stakes matchup with Auger-Aliassime.
Match results: N. Djokovic
5 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
R. Safiullin
N. Djokovic
12
36
63
36
W
3 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
A. Rinderknech
N. Djokovic
12
57
46
61
W
1 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
S. Tsitsipas
N. Djokovic
03
36
46
26
W
29 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
Y. Wu
N. Djokovic
13
46
75
46
46
W
26 Jun 2026Exhibition Hurlingham
T. Paul
N. Djokovic
02
36
57
W
29 May 2026ATP French Open
J. Fonseca
N. Djokovic
32
46
46
63
75
75
L
27 May 2026ATP French Open
V. Royer
N. Djokovic
03
36
26
36
W
24 May 2026ATP French Open
G. Mpetshi Perricard
N. Djokovic
13
75
57
16
46
W
8 May 2026ATP Rome
D. Prizmic
N. Djokovic
21
26
62
64
L
12 Mar 2026ATP Indian Wells
N. Djokovic
J. Draper
12
64
46
L
Players Analysis
Félix Auger-Aliassime has shown impressive form leading up to this quarter-final, winning all of his last ten matches, including a convincing 2-0 victory against A. Davidovich Fokina in the previous round. His performance on grass has been strong, with a total of 16 games won and only 8 lost in his last ten matches, averaging 1.6 sets won per match.
On the other hand, Novak Djokovic, while also performing well, has faced tougher competition, winning 7 out of his last 10 matches. His recent matches have shown a tendency to drop sets, including a 2-1 victory against R. Safiullin. Djokovic's experience and historical success at Wimbledon give him an edge, but Auger-Aliassime's current form cannot be overlooked.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In their head-to-head matchups, Djokovic has a slight advantage, having won 2 out of 3 encounters, including a recent match at the ATP Laver Cup where he lost to Auger-Aliassime. The previous matches indicate that Djokovic tends to win in straight sets, while Auger-Aliassime has shown the ability to take sets off him, particularly in their last meeting where he won 3-6. The surface at Wimbledon favors Djokovic, who has a higher win rate on grass compared to Auger-Aliassime. However, Auger-Aliassime's recent performance suggests he is capable of challenging Djokovic.
F. Auger-Aliassime — N. Djokovic Prediction
This match is expected to be closely contested, with both players capable of winning sets. However, given Djokovic's experience and historical performance, he is slightly favored to win. The predicted score is 3-1 in sets, with Auger-Aliassime likely to take one set.
Final score in sets: 3-1
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - N. Djokovic, Set 2 - F. Auger-Aliassime, Set 3 - N. Djokovic, Set 4 - N. Djokovic
Expected aces: 12
Double faults: 5
Break points: 6
In terms of tactics, Auger-Aliassime will need to focus on his serve to gain an advantage, as Djokovic is known for his return game. If Auger-Aliassime can maintain a high first-serve percentage and capitalize on break points, he may be able to disrupt Djokovic's rhythm. Djokovic, on the other hand, will likely aim to exploit any weaknesses in Auger-Aliassime's game, particularly during crucial points.
3 Reasons Why N. Djokovic Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors N. Djokovic 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors N. Djokovic.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, N. Djokovic has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than F. Auger-Aliassime, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
07.07.2026 12:00ATP Wimbledon
F. Auger-Aliassime
N. Djokovic
13
01001011
1210
53
68
Where to watch F. Auger-Aliassime vs N. Djokovic
ATP Tour Official Website - Visit the official ATP Tour website for match schedules, results, and broadcast information.
Wimbledon Official Website - Check the official Wimbledon website for live streaming options and broadcast details.
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BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport offers live coverage and updates for Wimbledon matches.