⚽ Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal — Analytics and Prediction (17.01.2026)

Introduction

Nottingham Forest will face Arsenal in what promises to be an exciting Premier League clash. Nottingham Forest, currently struggling for form, will look to capitalize on their home advantage at the City Ground. Meanwhile, Arsenal arrives with great confidence, boasting an impressive away record that could prove crucial in this encounter.

Form Analysis

Nottingham Forest has had a difficult run of late, with their last five matches yielding only a 20% success rate. This lack of form has seen them struggle to find the back of the net and maintain defensive stability, crucial elements in securing points within the league. With such a low percentage, they will need a drastic turnaround to challenge a formidable opponent like Arsenal.

On the other hand, Arsenal’s recent form is quite the opposite, showcasing an impressive 87% success rate in their last five away games. This streak reflects their attacking prowess and solid defense, allowing them to dominate matches and secure vital points. Their confidence is likely at an all-time high, making them a challenging opponent for Nottingham Forest.

Statistical Analysis

When examining the statistics, Nottingham Forest has struggled to create goal-scoring opportunities, which is evident from their recent performances. In contrast, Arsenal has been prolific in front of goal, making them a constant threat in attacking positions. The average goals scored in their previous meetings suggest a tendency for Arsenal to come out on top, with Nottingham Forest finding it hard to keep pace.

The head-to-head statistics also favor Arsenal significantly. In their last five encounters, Nottingham Forest has only managed one win, while Arsenal has claimed three victories. This historical context adds pressure on Nottingham Forest, who will need to overcome both their recent form and Arsenal’s psychological edge.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between Nottingham Forest and Arsenal indicates a clear advantage for the Gunners. Out of the last five matches, Arsenal has won three, with Nottingham Forest managing just one victory and one draw. Their recent meetings have often seen Arsenal dominate, exemplifying their offensive capabilities and overall strength.

Influencing Factors

Additionally, referee Michael Oliver is known for his strict officiating, which could influence the match’s flow, especially if early fouls are called. Nottingham Forest will need to leverage their home advantage effectively while also addressing their recent form struggles to stand a chance against an Arsenal side that thrives under pressure.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the form, statistical evidence, and head-to-head history, Arsenal emerges as the clear favorite in this matchup. Nottingham Forest’s struggles at home and Arsenal’s strong away record suggest a likely victory for the visitors. The predicted scoreline is 0:2 in favor of Arsenal, reflecting their current momentum and ability to capitalize on Nottingham Forest’s weaknesses.