⚽ Sevilla vs Celta Vigo — Analytics and Prediction (12.01.2026)

Introduction

Sevilla is set to face Celta Vigo in a crucial La Liga clash at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. Historically, Sevilla has been a strong contender in the league, but their recent form has raised concerns. Meanwhile, Celta Vigo has shown resilience and improved performance, especially in their away games, making this matchup intriguing for fans and analysts alike.

Form Analysis

Sevilla has struggled in their last five home matches, managing only a 27% success rate. Their inability to convert chances into goals and maintain defensive solidity has cost them crucial points. This dip in form is alarming as they prepare to host a team that is currently performing better.

On the other hand, Celta Vigo has found their rhythm, boasting a 67% success rate in their last five away games. Their ability to adapt to different playing conditions and capitalize on opponents’ mistakes has been commendable. With a solid attack and a more reliable defense, Celta is entering this match with confidence.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the two teams, Sevilla has historically been stronger, but recent statistics show a shift. In their last five encounters, Sevilla has won twice, while Celta has secured one victory and the remaining two ended in draws. The average score of 3.0 indicates high-scoring games, with three of the last five encounters exceeding two goals.

Celta Vigo’s away performance has been notably better than Sevilla’s home form. With Sevilla’s current form at 27% and Celta Vigo at 67%, the statistics suggest that Celta has the potential to either win or secure a draw, which aligns with the current betting odds.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between Sevilla and Celta Vigo showcases a competitive rivalry. Celta Vigo edged out Sevilla in their most recent encounter with a 3-2 victory, while Sevilla managed to win 1-0 in the previous home fixture. Overall, the last five matches have produced an equal balance of wins for both teams, hinting at the unpredictability of this matchup.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions for the match are expected to be relatively mild, with a temperature of 10°C and scattered clouds. These conditions are generally favorable for a good game of football, allowing players to perform at their optimum level.

Home advantage at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán is a factor that Sevilla will hope to leverage. However, given their recent performances, it may not provide the same level of confidence as in previous seasons. On the contrary, Celta Vigo’s recent form suggests they are not fazed by playing away, which could neutralize Sevilla’s home advantage.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the recent form of both teams, Celta Vigo appears more likely to either win or draw this match. Sevilla’s struggles at home, coupled with Celta Vigo’s solid away performance, strongly point toward Celta Vigo’s ability to come away with at least a point. The prediction for this match is a scoreline of 1:2 in favor of Celta Vigo, reflecting their current form and head-to-head success against Sevilla.