⚽ Bologna vs Atalanta — Analytics and Prediction (07.01.2026)

Introduction

Both Bologna and Atalanta are gearing up for an intriguing clash in Serie A. Bologna, despite their home advantage, has struggled recently, while Atalanta has found a more consistent rhythm on the road. This matchup presents an opportunity for Bologna to turn their fortunes around against a formidable opponent like Atalanta, known for their attacking prowess and strategic gameplay.

Form Analysis

Bologna’s recent form at home has been concerning, with only a 13% success rate in their last five matches. This poor performance has left them vulnerable and in search of a much-needed boost. The team will need to capitalize on their home ground advantage at Stadio Renato Dall’Ara to overcome their recent slump.

In contrast, Atalanta has shown a commendable form away from home, boasting a 60% success rate in their last five encounters. Their ability to score and maintain possession has made them a challenging opponent for any team. With a disciplined defense and a potent attack, Atalanta will aim to continue their solid streak in this match.

Statistical Analysis

When examining the statistics, Bologna’s recent home performances reveal a struggle to convert chances into goals, reflected in their low scoring rates. Historically, they have had mixed results against Atalanta, which adds to the unpredictability of the upcoming match.

Atalanta, on the other hand, has been effective in both defense and attack, showcasing their capability to score multiple goals in a match. The head-to-head statistics indicate a balanced rivalry, with both teams having won two matches each in their last five encounters, alongside one draw. This parity suggests that the match could go either way, depending on which team can execute their game plan better on the day.

Head-to-Head History

The historical encounters between Bologna and Atalanta paint a picture of a competitive rivalry. In their last five meetings, Bologna has managed to secure two wins, while Atalanta has also claimed two victories, with one match ending in a draw. This history of closely contested matches indicates that neither team can be considered a clear favorite going into this fixture.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions during the match are expected to be challenging, with temperatures around -1°C and high humidity at 89%. Such conditions may affect player performance and fatigue levels, potentially leading to a more cautious approach from both teams. Additionally, the home advantage for Bologna cannot be overlooked; playing at Stadio Renato Dall’Ara should provide them with some confidence, despite their recent form.

Moreover, with the season progressing, both teams will be looking to gain crucial points. Bologna needs to leverage their home support to boost morale, while Atalanta will aim to maintain their momentum and push for a higher placement in the league.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form and statistical analysis, the prediction leans toward Bologna managing to secure at least a draw against Atalanta. Given their historical performances against each other and the home advantage, Bologna stands a good chance of either winning or drawing the match. The expected score is likely to be 2:1 in favor of Bologna, reflecting their potential to capitalize on home ground advantage while still being tested by Atalanta’s attacking capabilities.