⚽ Mallorca vs Girona — Analytics and Prediction (04.01.2026)

Introduction

Mallorca and Girona are set to clash in an intriguing La Liga matchup that promises excitement. Both teams have shown varying degrees of form this season, with Mallorca looking to capitalize on home advantage at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix. Girona, on the other hand, will aim to break their recent slump and secure crucial points on the road.

Form Analysis

Mallorca has struggled recently, managing only a 40% success rate in their last five home matches. This lack of consistency has raised concerns about their ability to secure a win, especially as they face a Girona side that has had its own challenges. Despite their home ground advantage, Mallorca will need to improve their performance to convert chances into goals.

Girona has had a disappointing run with a 33% success rate in their last five away games. Their struggles on the road may impact their confidence heading into this match, as they have failed to find the net consistently. With only a single win in their last outings, Girona must find a way to galvanize their squad to compete effectively against Mallorca.

Statistical Analysis

When analyzing the statistics, Mallorca has historically performed well against Girona, having won four of their last five encounters. This gives them the psychological edge going into this match. The average score in their recent meetings is 3.6 goals per match, indicating that these clashes often produce plenty of action.

In terms of attacking prowess, Mallorca has shown they can find the net, while Girona’s defense will be tested given their recent vulnerabilities. Mallorca’s home advantage, combined with their past successes against Girona, positions them favorably in this encounter, despite their recent dip in form.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between Mallorca and Girona reveals a clear trend. Mallorca has won four out of five previous matches against Girona, with Girona only managing a single victory. This trend indicates that Mallorca may have the upper hand and could utilize their historical dominance to boost their confidence in the upcoming match.

Influencing Factors

Weather conditions are expected to be quite moderate, with a temperature of 8°C and overcast clouds, which could influence the match dynamics. The pitch at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix should be in good condition, allowing both teams to play their preferred styles. Home advantage is significant in La Liga, and Mallorca will look to capitalize on the support of their fans to drive them forward.

With Girona struggling in away matches, the combination of their historical performance against Mallorca and the home crowd support could play a critical role in determining the outcome of this fixture.

Prediction and Justification

Based on the analysis of both teams’ forms, statistical trends, and historical performances, Mallorca looks poised to secure at least a draw in this match. Given their strong record against Girona and the home advantage, I predict a win for Mallorca with a likely score of 2:1. This outcome reflects both teams’ current form and Mallorca’s ability to leverage their historical success against Girona.