⚽ Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe — Analytics and Prediction (02.01.2026)

Introduction

Rayo Vallecano will host Getafe in a crucial La Liga match that promises to be competitive. Both teams are currently struggling with form, but Rayo Vallecano has shown flashes of potential that could work in their favor. With the home advantage at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, they will be looking to capitalize on their opportunities against a Getafe side that has been underwhelming in recent outings.

Form Analysis

Rayo Vallecano’s recent form has been mixed, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five matches. They managed a commendable victory against Drita and demonstrated resilience in securing a draw against Real Betis. However, their recent 4-0 loss to Elche raises concerns about their defensive capabilities. Playing at home, where they have struggled in recent matches, they will be eager to turn their fortunes around.

On the other hand, Getafe’s form has been alarming, with only one victory in their last ten matches overall. Their recent defeats, including a 4-0 loss to Real Betis and a 1-0 loss to Espanyol, indicate a lack of attacking threat. Getafe’s inability to score consistently poses a challenge as they head into this fixture, and they will need to find a way to rediscover their scoring touch if they hope to secure points.

Statistical Analysis

In terms of statistics, Rayo Vallecano has a slight edge with a 45% probability of winning compared to Getafe’s 10%. Their head-to-head metrics show that in the last five meetings, Rayo Vallecano has won once, while Getafe has also won once, with three matches ending in a draw. The average score from these encounters has been low, suggesting a defensive approach from both sides. Rayo’s home form has seen them struggle with a mere 20% success rate, while Getafe’s away form mirrors this struggle.

Defensively, both teams have shown vulnerability, with Rayo Vallecano conceding four goals in their last match and Getafe failing to score in three of their last five matches. This suggests that goals may be hard to come by, making the under 3.5 goals prediction plausible.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between Rayo Vallecano and Getafe reveals a closely contested rivalry. In their last five encounters, there have been no dominant performances, with both teams managing just one win apiece and three matches ending in draws. This trend indicates a balanced matchup, further complicating predictions for the upcoming match.

Influencing Factors

Team morale will also be a significant factor. Rayo Vallecano will be buoyed by their home crowd and the need to redeem themselves after recent poor performances, while Getafe will need to address their lack of attacking threat if they are to find a way to secure a result.

Prediction and Justification

Given the current form and the head-to-head statistics, the most likely outcome appears to be a win or draw for Rayo Vallecano. With a 45% chance of winning and the home advantage, they are better positioned to secure points in this fixture. The prediction is for a low-scoring game, likely ending with Rayo Vallecano winning 2:1, considering Getafe’s struggle to find the net consistently.