26.04.2026
Reading time: 5 min

Sevilla vs Real Sociedad – Prediction (04.05.2026)

Sevilla
LWLLL

04 May 2026
19:00
La Liga

VS

Real Sociedad
LDWL

Player Ratings & Team Rating

Sevilla

Average rating
6.75

Top players:

  • Ø. Nyland — 8.20 (0 g)
  • O. Vlachodimos — 7.30 (0 g)
  • Rafa Mir — 7.06 (3 g)
  • Kike Salas — 6.99 (1 g)
  • Andrés Castrín — 6.96 (0 g)

Real Sociedad

Average rating
6.82

Top players:

  • Unai Marrero — 7.53 (0 g)
  • Beñat Turrientes — 7.36 (2 g)
  • Álex Remiro — 7.35 (0 g)
  • Gonçalo Guedes — 7.25 (9 g)
  • Zubeldia — 7.23 (1 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Sevilla
Real Sociedad


Strength


30% / 70%

Attacking Potential


31% / 69%

Defensive Potential


42% / 58%

Poisson Distribution


48% / 52%

Strength H2H


40% / 60%

Goals H2H


43% / 57%

Wins The Game



10% / 45% / 45%

Introduction

In the 34th round of La Liga, Sevilla will host Real Sociedad at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. This match holds significant implications for both teams as they navigate their respective pursuits in the league standings.

Form Analysis

Sevilla’s recent form has been inconsistent, with a record of 4 wins in their last 10 matches, but they have suffered 5 losses in that stretch. Their home form is particularly concerning, having only managed to secure 20% of points from their last five home encounters, which is a stark contrast to their historical prowess at home.

Real Sociedad, on the other hand, has endured a challenging run recently, with only 1 win in their last 10 matches. Their away form is slightly better at 47%, but they face the challenge of maintaining momentum against a Sevilla side that will be desperate to get back on track.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the teams statistically, Sevilla has shown a stronger offensive capability historically, but recent performances suggest a decline. In their last matches, Sevilla conceded more goals than they scored, which reflects a troubling trend for the home side.

Real Sociedad’s attacking statistics show a mixed bag as well, with a struggle to find the back of the net consistently. In head-to-head encounters, the average scoreline leans slightly in favor of Sevilla historically, but recent results indicate that Real Sociedad has also been able to take points from these encounters.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between Sevilla and Real Sociedad shows a competitive rivalry, with Sevilla winning 3 of their last 5 meetings. However, Real Sociedad’s recent victories, including a crucial away win, indicate that they can compete effectively against Sevilla, making this encounter critical for both squads.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions on match day are expected to be clear with a temperature of 16°C, potentially favoring both teams’ playing styles. The Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán historically provides a challenging atmosphere for visiting teams, but Sevilla’s current home form raises concerns about their ability to leverage this advantage.

The psychological aspect of this clash cannot be overlooked; Sevilla will be under significant pressure to perform well in front of their home crowd, while Real Sociedad will aim to capitalize on any sign of weakness in the Sevilla lineup. This creates an intriguing dynamic that could influence the match outcome.

Prediction and Justification

Taking into account the current form, head-to-head history, and external factors, it seems that Real Sociedad has a reasonable chance to either win or secure a draw in this match. Sevilla’s struggle in recent home games and their defensive vulnerabilities suggest that they may not be able to secure all three points against a determined Real Sociedad side. The predicted score is 1:2, with Real Sociedad likely to edge out the victory.

Prediction

Real Sociedad is likely to secure a victory or draw, given Sevilla’s current struggles at home.

Predicted Score: 1:2

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