⚽ AS Roma vs Genoa — Analytics and Prediction (29.12.2025)

Introduction

AS Roma is set to face Genoa in an upcoming Serie A match, with both teams seeking to improve their standings. AS Roma, known for their attacking prowess, has been struggling recently, while Genoa has shown some resilience despite mixed results. The match promises to be an intriguing contest as both teams look to secure vital points in the league.

Form Analysis

AS Roma’s recent form has been a cause for concern, with three wins in their last ten matches and two consecutive losses. The team has struggled to find the back of the net consistently, as evidenced by their recent performances, including a disappointing 1-0 loss to Napoli. However, they did manage a solid 3-0 win against Celtic, showcasing their potential when firing on all cylinders.

On the other hand, Genoa has also experienced a mixed bag of results, winning three and losing two of their last ten matches. Their recent form includes a narrow defeat to Atalanta and a hard-fought win against Verona. Despite some struggles, Genoa has demonstrated the ability to compete, especially against mid-table teams, making them a tricky opponent for Roma.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistics of both teams, AS Roma holds a slight edge in terms of overall play. They have a higher possession rate and create more chances on goal. However, their finishing has been subpar, leading to lower scoring outputs in recent matches. Genoa, while not as dominant in possession, has been effective in counter-attacking situations, which could exploit Roma’s defensive lapses.

In their last five matches, AS Roma managed to score only two goals while conceding five, indicating a need for improvement in both defense and attack. Genoa’s scoring has also been inconsistent, with only five goals scored in their last five outings but managing to concede six, suggesting vulnerabilities in their backline.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between AS Roma and Genoa favors the home side, with AS Roma winning four out of the last five encounters. Notably, they secured a 3-1 victory in their last matchup at the Stadio Olimpico. This historical advantage will provide Roma with confidence as they prepare to face Genoa.

Influencing Factors

The match will take place at the Stadio Olimpico, where AS Roma typically enjoys a strong home advantage. The atmosphere is expected to be electric, as home fans rally behind their team. Weather conditions are anticipated to be conducive for football, which should allow both teams to showcase their capabilities.

In addition, tactical adjustments by both managers will play a crucial role. Roma’s ability to control the game and create chances will be pivotal, while Genoa will need to capitalize on any defensive errors made by their opponents. With both teams looking to bounce back from recent disappointments, the match could be tightly contested.

Prediction and Justification

Based on the analysis of current form, statistical comparisons, and head-to-head history, AS Roma is likely to come out on top in this encounter. Their historical record against Genoa provides them with a psychological advantage, and playing at home should bolster their confidence. Therefore, I predict AS Roma will win or draw the match, with a final score of 2:1.