⚽ West Ham vs Brighton — Analytics and Prediction (30.12.2025)

Introduction

Both West Ham and Brighton find themselves in a challenging period as they head into this Premier League clash. West Ham, despite their strong performances in the previous seasons, have shown inconsistency lately, struggling to find the back of the net. Brighton, on the other hand, has also faced difficulties, particularly in their away matches, but they remain a well-organized side capable of snatching points against stronger opponents. This matchup at the London Stadium promises to be a closely contested affair, with both teams eager to improve their standings in the league.

Form Analysis

West Ham’s recent form has been concerning, with only one win in their last five matches, which includes two draws and two losses. Their latest result, a narrow defeat to Fulham, showcased their struggles to convert chances into goals, a trend that has plagued them in recent outings. The Hammers have only managed to score three goals in their last five matches, indicating a pressing need for improvement in their attacking play.

Brighton’s form mirrors that of West Ham, with the same statistic of one win in the last five games, including two draws and two losses. Their most recent match against Arsenal ended in disappointment, and they too have struggled to find the net, scoring just two goals in their last five fixtures. Brighton’s defense has shown some resilience, but their inability to secure victories in away games is a significant concern.

Statistical Analysis

Statistically, both teams have shown a similar pattern in recent performances. West Ham has a win rate of only 10% in their last ten matches, while Brighton shares the same percentage. When comparing their attacking prowess, both teams have struggled, with West Ham averaging 0.6 goals per match in their last five, while Brighton has managed slightly better with 0.4 goals per match. Defensively, both clubs have conceded critical goals, leading to their current positions in the league table.

In terms of possession and passing accuracy, Brighton tends to dominate these metrics, often controlling the ball more effectively than West Ham. However, the Hammers have the advantage of playing at home, where their supporters can provide an emotional boost. Yet, both teams’ current form suggests that they may cancel each other out in this encounter.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between West Ham and Brighton reflects a balanced rivalry, with their last five encounters yielding one win for each team and three draws. The most recent match ended in a 1-1 draw, highlighting the competitive nature of their meetings. Historically, matches between these two teams tend to be closely fought, with neither side able to consistently assert dominance.

Influencing Factors

The match will be played at the London Stadium, which typically provides West Ham with a significant home advantage. However, both teams are currently in poor form, which could neutralize this factor. The weather on match day is expected to be cool at 4°C with scattered clouds, potentially affecting player stamina and performance, especially in the second half. The humidity level at 65% may also play a role in the players’ ability to maintain intensity throughout the match.

Additionally, injuries and squad rotation could impact team selections. Both managers will need to find the right balance to ensure their teams are competitive, and any injury concerns will be critical in deciding their strategies going into this match.

Prediction and Justification

Considering the current form and statistical analyses of both teams, Brighton appears to have a slight edge, primarily due to their ability to maintain defensive solidity and their historical performance in head-to-head matches. With both teams struggling to score, the match could end in a draw or a narrow victory for Brighton. I predict a close encounter with Brighton taking the points with a score of 1:2, reflecting their potential to capitalize on West Ham’s current attacking woes.