⚽ Bologna vs Sassuolo — Analytics and Prediction (28.12.2025)

Introduction

Both Bologna and Sassuolo are set to clash in what promises to be an intriguing Serie A matchup at the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara. Bologna, playing at home, will be looking to capitalize on their familiarity with the venue and seek a crucial three points to improve their standing in the league. Sassuolo, on the other hand, has struggled on the road and will aim to overturn their recent difficulties to secure a positive result against a team that they have had a mixed record against in past encounters.

Form Analysis

Bologna has had a challenging run recently, with only one win in their last five matches. The team has seen two defeats against strong opponents like Napoli and Juventus, alongside a draw against Lazio. Their only victory came against Celta Vigo in a friendly, which might not be enough to build the needed confidence as they face Sassuolo. At home, Bologna’s form has been relatively better, holding a 47% success rate in their last five home matches, indicating potential for improvement.

Sassuolo, too, has not been in stellar form, recording just one win in their last five outings. Their recent matches reflect inconsistency, with a draw against AC Milan and defeats to Torino and Como. Sassuolo’s away form is concerning, as they have only managed a 33% success rate in their last five away games. This pattern suggests that they will need to step up significantly if they hope to challenge Bologna effectively.

Statistical Analysis

Bologna has struggled defensively in recent matches, conceding goals in crucial moments against top-tier teams. However, they have managed to score in most of their games, indicating a degree of attacking potential. Statistically, Bologna has a moderate average of goals scored and conceded, which reflects their need to tighten their defense and capitalize on opportunities.

Sassuolo’s statistics reveal similar struggles, particularly on the road, where they have failed to consistently find the back of the net. With a lower average of goals scored compared to Bologna, their attacking prowess is under scrutiny. The head-to-head metrics slightly favor Bologna, with them winning two of the last five encounters, which adds psychological pressure on Sassuolo as they attempt to reverse their fortunes.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between Bologna and Sassuolo is quite competitive. In the last five matches, Bologna has secured two victories, while Sassuolo has one win, and there have been two draws. Notably, Bologna’s home advantage has played a role in their success, as they have previously outperformed Sassuolo at Stadio Renato Dall’Ara, winning decisively in some encounters. This historical context adds to the intrigue of the upcoming match.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions on match day are expected to be clear, with a temperature of 6°C, which should not pose significant challenges for either team. The home advantage at Stadio Renato Dall’Ara is another crucial factor, as Bologna will enjoy support from their fans and familiarity with the pitch. Considering Bologna’s better home form compared to Sassuolo’s dismal away performance, this could tilt the scales in favor of the home team.

Additionally, the psychological edge that Bologna holds from their recent head-to-head successes could influence player confidence and performance levels. The pressure is on Sassuolo to break their away rut and deliver a strong performance, which may lead to increased tension and mistakes.

Prediction and Justification

Given the current form, home advantage, and historical context, Bologna appears to be in a better position to secure a favorable outcome in this match. While both teams have shown inconsistency, Bologna’s recent home performances combined with Sassuolo’s struggles on the road suggest a higher likelihood of a home victory or a draw. Therefore, the prediction is that Bologna will win or draw, with a probable score of 2:1.