⚽ Sunderland vs Leeds — Analytics and Prediction (28.12.2025)

Introduction

Both Sunderland and Leeds are preparing for a crucial encounter in the Premier League. Sunderland comes into this match with a strong home advantage and an impressive recent form, while Leeds has struggled to find their footing in recent matches, making this clash particularly intriguing. The Stadium of Light will be the battleground where both teams will seek to secure invaluable points in their respective campaigns.

Form Analysis

Sunderland’s recent form has been solid, with three wins, two draws, and no losses in their last five matches. Their ability to hold strong against teams like Newcastle and Liverpool showcases their resilience and defensive capabilities. The victory against Newcastle, coupled with a recent draw against Brighton, indicates that they are difficult to break down at home, thus giving them confidence heading into this match.

On the other hand, Leeds has faced a tough stretch, having not secured a win in their last five matches, with two draws and three losses. Their recent high-scoring games, such as the thrilling 3-3 draw against Liverpool and the comprehensive 4-1 win over Crystal Palace, highlight their attacking potential; however, their defensive frailties have often cost them crucial points. This inconsistency could be a major factor when they face a resolute Sunderland side.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing statistics, Sunderland boasts a home form percentage of 53%, indicating they are typically strong at the Stadium of Light. Their ability to score and defend well at home suggests they will be a tough opponent for Leeds. Conversely, Leeds has also shown a home form of 53% but their away performances have been less convincing, which could play a significant role in the outcome of this match.

Looking at head-to-head records, Sunderland has had a slight edge in recent encounters with two wins, three draws, and no losses against Leeds in their last five meetings. This historical performance could instill confidence in the Sunderland squad as they prepare to take on Leeds.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between Sunderland and Leeds reveals a competitive rivalry, with Sunderland securing two victories and three draws in their last five encounters. Notable matches include a 2-1 victory for Leeds in earlier seasons, but the recent trend favors Sunderland, highlighting their ability to compete against Leeds effectively.

Influencing Factors

The weather conditions for the match at the Stadium of Light are projected to be cool, with a temperature of 7°C and broken clouds, which is generally favorable for football. These conditions should not heavily favor either team but may lead to a more tactical game as players adjust to the cooler temperatures.

In addition, Sunderland’s home advantage cannot be underestimated. The support from their fans at the Stadium of Light is likely to boost their performance, particularly against a Leeds team that has struggled on the road. This psychological edge, combined with Sunderland’s current form, makes them the favorites for this match.

Prediction and Justification

Given Sunderland’s strong home form, their recent performances, and the struggles of Leeds on the road, the prediction leans towards a Sunderland victory or at least a draw. With Sunderland’s defensive solidity and Leeds’ inconsistency, the forecast for this match is a Sunderland win or draw, with a likely score of 2:1.