02.04.2026
Reading time: 5 min

Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico-MG – Prediction (02.04.2026)

Chapecoense-sc
LWLDD

02 April 2026
22:00
Serie A

VS

Atletico-MG
LWLWL

Player Ratings & Team Rating

Chapecoense-sc

Average rating
6.74

Top players:

  • Léo Vieira — 7.30 (0 g)
  • Jean Carlos — 7.16 (2 g)
  • Victor Caetano — 6.90 (0 g)
  • Robert Santos — 6.90 (0 g)
  • W. Clar — 6.83 (3 g)

Atletico-MG

Average rating
6.61

Top players:

  • Everson — 7.28 (0 g)
  • Alexsander — 7.20 (0 g)
  • Victor Hugo — 7.11 (2 g)
  • Hulk — 6.89 (1 g)
  • Maycon — 6.88 (0 g)

Clean Sheets / Both Teams To Score

Chapecoense-sc
Atletico-MG


Strength


33% / 67%

Attacking Potential


57% / 43%

Defensive Potential


38% / 62%

Poisson Distribution


84% / 16%

Strength H2H


62% / 38%

Goals H2H


58% / 42%

Wins The Game



35% / 35% / 30%

Introduction

In the 9th round of Serie A, Chapecoense will take on Atletico-MG in what promises to be an important clash for both teams. With their current standings, the match holds significant implications for their aspirations this season.

Form Analysis

Chapecoense has shown a mixed bag of results recently, with three wins, two draws, and no losses in their last five matches. Their home form, however, has been concerning, with only 20% success, indicating a need to improve when playing on their own turf.

In contrast, Atletico-MG is struggling significantly, having lost five consecutive matches. Their recent form showcases a lack of scoring, and the defense has also been shaky, allowing two goals in two of their last three outings. Away from home, they have managed a 40% success rate, but this still falls short of their ambitions.

Statistical Analysis

When comparing the statistics of both teams, Chapecoense appears to have a slight edge. They have managed to secure crucial points in their recent fixtures, reflecting a more stable performance. Atletico-MG, on the other hand, has been unable to find the back of the net consistently, which has contributed to their downward spiral. In past meetings, Chapecoense has had the upper hand more often, though recent encounters have shown that matches between these two can be closely contested.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between Chapecoense and Atletico-MG shows a varied outcome, with each team having their share of victories. Notably, Chapecoense has secured wins in critical moments, including a recent draw against Atletico that demonstrated their capability to challenge their opponents effectively.

Influencing Factors

Prediction and Justification

Given the current form and statistics, Chapecoense is likely to come out on top, capitalizing on Atletico-MG’s vulnerabilities. The home advantage and their relatively stable performance suggest that they will manage to secure at least a draw, if not a victory. Therefore, the predicted score is 2:1 in favor of Chapecoense.

Prediction

Chapecoense is expected to win this match, building on their recent form and taking advantage of Atletico-MG’s struggles.

Predicted Score: 2:1

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